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Santa Anita ~ Free Picks Sunday 4/18/2021

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Santa Anita Free picks

Santa Anita has carded 9 races for this Sunday afternoon including two grade 3 races.  The Tokyo City Cup will be run race 3 and the Kona Gold will be run race 8. The Tokyo City will be run on dirt going a mile and a half, the Kona Gold is a 6 1/2 furlong sprint on the dirt.

We like to remind you to check in with us every race day because we give out our free Santa Anita picks.

You can check here for the forecast at Santa Anita.

Please check for changes at Equibase.com

Race 3~ Tokyo City Cup -G3

1 1/2 Miles on Dirt

This grade three contest attracts 5 horses.  This field looks like the winner will be between #3 Tizamagician ridden by Flavian Prat and #5 Zestful piloted by Edwin Maldonado.

This is a rematch of sorts because they both came out of the San Pasqual (G2) last January.  #5 Zestful had a outside post and got pushed wide that day and lost a bit of ground.  #3 Tizamagician drew the rail and went straight to the lead.

Today should be a similar situation.  These look like the class of this field.  We will pick #5 Zestful to get the upper hand in this rematch.  #5 Zestful races have been better the longer he goes.  He ran a huge race (2nd)  in the 1 3/4 mile  (G2)Marathon On Breeders Cup Friday back in 2019.  Before that winning a 1 1/4 stake at Los Al.

This mile and a half distance isn’t for every horse, #5 Zestful has  shown the longer the race, the better he runs.

10 Horse Handicapping Tips You Need To Know About

Race 4 ~ OC 40k/N1X

6 Furlongs on Turf

Eight rivals compete in this optional claiming event for fillies and mares on the turf.  This race has a new face shipping in from the east coast #2 Jazzique JJ Hernandez rides for Michael McCarthy.  This horse was formally trained by Chad Brown.

Horses shipping west is usually a good angle.  The turf talent is definitely better on the east coast and the mid west than it is on the west coast.

This horse won once out of 4 starts and it’s only win came sprinting.  It ran well in a (G3) stretching out at Belmont but it will be coming off a layoff today to sprint against this bunch.

#4 Miss Lucy is a Peter Miller trainee that will add blinkers for the first time.  Flavian Prat continues to ride this gal after a couple disappointing efforts.  This is definitely a good sign that he has some faith that this girl will turn things around.

Peter Miller is a sprint trainer.  He connects at a 25% rate when his horses sprint.  It’s a little less on the turf but still a quality 20%.

This filly looks like she has some talent and today is a good spot to try to find a good price on her.  With a field that will take money in a couple different directions, she should be a pretty good value for these connections.

Santa Anita Play Of The Day

***We make our selections on a theoretical $20 base wager.  We will give out $20 daily double wagers on this website.  Remember, these wagers are theoretical and we use a $20 wager for two reasons.  Firstly, because our plays usually run between $40-$60, which is a reasonable bankroll and secondly it’s easy to keep track of our winnings and loses per month. ***

 

Lets fire a daily double(s), because that’s what we do.

 

Race 3

#5 Zestful

Race 4

#2 Jazzique

#4 Miss Lucy

 

We give out our top picks at Keeneland this spring meet 2021.  Click here for our latest selections.

If you are wondering how we do at our selections you can check out here how we did last month.

 

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