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🏇🏽 Keeneland ~ Free Picks Sunday 4/11/2021

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Keeneland Best Bets

Santa Anita & Keeneland Free picks

Day 5 of week 2 of the Keeneland spring meet is here.  Remember, HorseRacingPlayersClub.com is giving out our free Keeneland picks all meet.  Check our site regularly for our play(s) of the day.

Sunday is here and we hope it’s sunny.  After the rains came in on Saturday and created an off track let’s hope that the main track drys out and the turf races remain on the grass.

Nine races today none of them are stakes.  This card should be a good one.  Let’s take a look at what we like.  Remember, to check the weather and for changes.  Follow the links below for the info.

To check the latest reports on the rain you can find latest weather here via weather.com.

Find the changes for today at Keeneland here at equibase.com

3 Expert Betting Tips For Keeneland Race Course 

Race 3 ~ Maiden Claiming 20000

1 Mile 1/16 on Dirt

Race 3 is scheduled to have 9 runners racing for a $21,000 purse.  This race is for fillies and mares 3 years old and upward going 1 1/16 miles.

This 1 1/16 distance ends on the first finish line.  Therefore this race has the short homestretch.  With this field of bottom level maidens we see a few underachieving droppers and one first time starter.

 

#1 Coupon is breaking from the rail.  The rail isn’t ideal for a first timer but this field looks like a soft spot we are going to take a shot.

There are a some drawbacks to this runner.  Winning first out is always tough. The trainer is a capable one Dane Kobiskie, but is on a 0-25 skid this year.

The slow starting trainer has brought a string to Keeneland that has been firing.  He is 0-7 so far, but has 2 seconds and 4 thirds.

He employees the veteran rider C.J. Hernández to take this mount.  This will be a long shot but considering this field let’s throw her on the ticket.

 

#3 Simply Beguiled attracts leading rider Luis Saez.  This 4 year old Palace Malice filly is trying blinkers for the first time.  These connections are shipping her in from The Fairgrounds and putting her back on dirt.

She has had difficulty getting pushed out wide in her previous races.  An aggressive rider and adding blinkers let’s hope Saez can place in a great spot to get her first win.

#4 How Lucky ships in from Turfway Park.  But this isn’t the first time she raced at Keeneland.  Back in the fall she was trained by Norm Casse and ran in a 150k maiden claiming race.  She was out classed that day sprinting.

After three route races on synthetic she returns to the dirt.  At Turfway she drew two outside posts that were not favorable going long.  She broke from the 10 and 11 posts in her first two starts up in Florence, Kentucky.

Her third race you can see above she dropped to Maiden 30 k claimers and added blinkers.  She sat nicely in second most of the contest and experienced a little trouble late.

If she makes the lone lead here on the dirt surface and maybe she gets brave on the front end.

#7 Talk Radio is trained by Bill Mott and ridden by Joel Rosario.  This horse will be the likely favorite. This horse looks like a total underachiever.  This horse is trying dirt for the first time and shipping in from Gulfstream.

Dirt is probably this horses best surface. It’s breed for the dirt but it has been running on turf for all of its other 3 career races.

This horse is dropping to the lowest level and may be the best today, but at a short price we are not interested.

Race 4 ~ Maiden Special Weight 79k

1 1/16 Mile on Turf

Another 9 horse race, this time it’s going 1 1/16 miles on turf.  This is a pretty interesting race.  The field consists of 3 year old fillies all looking for their first victory.

 

#3 Fairchild is a Mark Casse runner shipping in from The Fairgrounds who has placed second in both its career starts.  Tyler Gaffalione picks up the mount this time who regularly rides for Mark Casse.  This filly made a middle move last out and couldn’t hold off the eventual winner.

This horse was coming off a layoff last out and we expected this gal to be a little more fit this race.

 

#7 Tracy Flick was disqualified in her one and only start.  She won the race but was taken down by the stewards.  She is a War Front filly who last race went straight to the front end and wired the field down at Gulfstream Park.

See tweet below for a replay of the disqualification.

A couple runners exiting this race are expected to run ⁦@keeneland⁩ Wednesday race 3 https://t.co/I0zZYpjzwb

— sit-n-chilly (@Andy_HRPC) April 6, 2021

There is a little pace to the inside in this race, and this track runners from off the pace have been winning on this turf course.

A couple of the runners that competed with #7 Tracy Flick ran back at Keeneland on Wednesday.  One of the runners did come back and win. A Thing of Beauty is a Todd Pletcher trainee who took race three going 1 1/8 on the grass.

 

10 Horse Handicapping Tips You Need To Know About

 

Keeneland Play Of The Day

***We make our selections on a theoretical $20 base wager.  We will give out $20 daily double wagers on this website.  Remember, these wagers are theoretical and we use a $20 wager for two reasons.  Firstly, because our plays usually run between $40-$60, which is a reasonable bankroll and secondly it’s easy to keep track of our winnings and loses per month. ***

 

Lets fire a daily double(s), because that’s what we do.

Race 3

#1 Coupon

#3 Simply Beguiled

#4 How Lucky

 

Race 4

#3 Fairchild

 

We give out our top picks at Santa Anita also.  Click here for our latest selections.

If you are wondering how we do at our selections you can check out here how we did last month.

 

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Follow us on Twitter for our latest posts, our free picks and great racing conversation.

If you haven’t checked us out in the last two days you have been missing out!! Can we score our 3rd daily double in a row. Check out our free daily double picks. Keeping it simple it’s what we do. ⁦@Andy_HRPC⁩ ⁦@BriMott⁩#HorseRacingPlayersClub https://t.co/9oChDWpXFh

— Horse Racing Players Club (@HRplayersclub) April 10, 2021

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