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🏇🏽 Keeneland ~ Free Picks Saturday 4/17/2021

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Keeneland Best Bets

Santa Anita & Keeneland Free picks

Day 4 of week 3 of the Keeneland spring meet is here.  Remember, HorseRacingPlayersClub.com is giving out our free Keeneland picks all meet.  Check our site regularly for our play(s) of the day.

The Saturday card is packed with 10 races.   The 9th race is the feature, The Elkhorn (G2).  This race is ran over turf going 1 1/2 miles.  It’s a solid field of 10, they will be looking to capture the only graded stakes race of the day.

Remember, to check the weather and for any changes.  You can find this information below.

To check the latest reports on the rain you can find latest weather here via weather.com.

Find the changes for today at Keeneland here at equibase.com

3 Expert Betting Tips For Keeneland Race Course 

Race 1 ~ Alw 20000s

7 Furlongs on Dirt

Race 1 has 6 horses in it.  It’s a interesting mix of horses trying to go 7 furlongs.  We will take a deeper look into two horses in this field, the first being the #3 The Gray Blur.  This 4 year old grey is racing as a gelding for the second time.

Last out he tried a sloppy track down at The Fairgrounds.  This race he showed a bunch of speed but the mile and 70 yards was too much for him.

Today is a different story, the 7 furlongs might fit this guy really well.  The trainer Christopher Davis has been sprinting him on turf, and occasionally sending him long.  This middle distance might be what he needs to utilize his speed the best.

Many times gelding a horse will show improvement.  This will help on race days and during the mornings while  prepping for the upcoming races.  We will give this fella another shot to see what he can do at Keeneland.

This race will probably have a considerable favorite on the outside #6 Super Sol.  This horse by the numbers should win this race.  This 6 year old was well thought of early in his career.  He started off in the Bob Baffert barn then after one race showed up in the Steve Asmussen barn.  After disappointing in both places he eventually ended up in the claiming ranks where he’s carved out a niche for himself.

Last year in October he won at Keeneland going this same distance 7 furlongs in a 20k claimer.  He recently was running up at Turfway Park on synthetic in optional claiming races and even a overnight stakes.

If this guy runs back to those numbers he will be tough.  But his off the pace running style in a small field, makes him a sketchy horse to want to back in this field.

Race 2 ~ Alw 81000N1X

1 1/8Mile on Dirt

Race 2 is another small field.  5 horses will be all looking to get their second lifetime win.  The #2 Working Title will try to sit a perfect trip in this race.  This colt is second off the bench and switching back to dirt after he came up short in his comeback attempt at Turfway Park.

What’s interesting is that he ran his best race from the Beyer Speed Figure perspective second off the layoff last year.  He followed up his maiden breaking score at Indiana with a second place effort at Churchill (lost by a neck) in similar race conditions as this.

Todd Pletcher is sending out 40% of the runners in this contest.  He has entered #3 Ashaar a former $650,000 Keeneland September (2018) sale graduate.  This underachieving colt is on a 5 race losing streak and 3 of those races were as the chalk.  This guy has the ability to win this race but looks like he could be vulnerable to an upset.

Same goes for his stablemate #5 Portos.   This grey son of Tapit, he did break his maiden in a small field of 5 back in December of 2019 at Aqueduct.  But since then he has only raced 4 times, twice in graded stakes, his best finish was a 3rd in the (G3) Withers in early 2020 right after he broke the maiden.

 

 

10 Horse Handicapping Tips You Need To Know About

 

Keeneland Play Of The Day

***We make our selections on a theoretical $20 base wager.  We will give out $20 daily double wagers on this website.  Remember, these wagers are theoretical and we use a $20 wager for two reasons.  Firstly, because our plays usually run between $40-$60, which is a reasonable bankroll and secondly it’s easy to keep track of our winnings and loses per month. ***

 

Lets fire a daily double(s), because that’s what we do.

Race 1

#3 The Gray Blur

#6 Super Sol

 

Race 2

#2 Working Title

 

We give out our top picks at Santa Anita also.  Click here for our latest selections.

If you are wondering how we do at our selections you can check out here how we did last month.

 

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9 days until opening day at ⁦@keenelandracing⁩ check tips to help you at the windows. it’s not always about picking the winner our tips help identify what horses could be potential plays against ⁦@Andy_HRPC⁩
3 Expert Betting Tips For Keeneland
https://t.co/dbdPEmqc6I

— Horse Racing Players Club (@HRplayersclub) March 25, 2021

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